Saturday, April 5, 2014

Is a Super El Nino Coming Next Winter?

There are increasing reports in the media of the potential for a SUPER EL NINO next winter, one reminiscent of the some of the great ones, like 1997 and 1982.

During the last two years we have been in a neutral (or La Nada) situation with the tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) and winds being near normal.  But a strong El Nino, in which the waters of the tropical Pacific warm substantially, could bring significant changes to U.S. weather, including:

  • The movement of the jet stream southward into California, bringing the potential for heavy precipitation next winter.
  • Poor snow pack and less major storms in the Northwest 
  • Warmer temperatures over the northern tier of the U.S.

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